Telepathy Essay, Research Paper
TELEPATHY Introduction
The aim of this investigation is to statistically
analyse the results of telepathy tests run on a
selection of people to determine whether
none/one/some/all of them poses telepathic powers.
These results could be used as a representative sample
of other similar people.
The selection of people will be children, all 16 or 17
years old, from a further mathematics class. These
children are similar in age and assumed to be
similarly intelligent. A group of people similar in
these characteristics has been chosen, so this group
could be used as a representative sample of other
similar people.
The sample size will be 10 people large, as this
should be large enough to show if any of them have
telepathic powers compared to the rest. This size
should also be large enough to show if further
investigation into this group of society about their
telepathic powers should be considered, should some of
them exhibit telepathic powers. This size should also
be large enough to determine whether the "transmitter"
(see below), possesses telepathic powers.
A person will take card from a pack of cards and will
look at it, while not letting anyone but him/her to
view the card. Another person will then state what
suit they think the card is, heart, diamond, club or
spade. Whether they got the suit right or wrong will
be recorded.
This investigation will try and determine whether any
people in the group can receive telepathic messages,
and so the person viewing the card – the "sender",
will be the same person throughout the investigation.
This means that the telepathic "sending" ability of
the person viewing the card is also tested. When
looking at the results from the group as a whole, the
telepathic powers of the sender can be analysed, while
looking at individual results of people trying to
received messages will give an idea as to their own
telepathic powers.
Each person will try and receive the suit of 20 cards,
as this size appears to be a large enough set of tests
to determine whether the subject has any telepathic
abilities. The card will be picked from a shuffled
pack of cards, in case any tampering has been
involved.
The results of the test will be compared to a binomial
model that assumes that the suit that the receiver
picks is picked at random (that the receiver or
transmitter has no telepathic powers). This
distribution model requires the events to be
independent of each other. Certain precautions must be
taken to ensure this. The subject must not be told
whether or not they got a suit right or wrong, as this
may affect their next answer. Also, the subject must
not be able to see the transmitter, as this may also
affect their answer, as the transmitter’s expression
may give an idea to whether they stated the correct
suit.
The mean and standard deviation will be calculated
from the real data, and from the binomial model, so
they can be compared. They can then be compared to see
if there are any significant differences that could
mean telepathic powers are present.
Results
Person No of correct Answers
1 6
2 8
3 8
4 2
5 3
6 8
7 6
8 6
9 9
10 9
Number of correct answers 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Frequency 1 1 0 0 3 0 3 2
Calculations Using Data
Let x be number of correct answers
Mean
Standard Deviation
Binomial Model
The binomial probability model can be calculated from
the following formula, where given n trials of an
event, the probability of r occurrences of an outcome
that has a probability p occurring at each trial.
To calculate the probability distribution for the set
of telepathy tests, assuming that the chance of each
subject stating the correct card is ¼, and there are
20 tests run on each subject, the formula is
therefore:
Using this formula, the probability distribution for
correctly stating the suit of card is as follows,
where X is the number of suits correctly chosen.
x p(x)
0 3.1712 x 10-3
1 2.1141 x 10-2
2 6.6695 x 10-2
3 1.1339 x 10-1
4 1.8969 x 10-1
5 2.0233 x 10-1
6 1.6861 x 10-1
7 1.1241 x 10-1
8 6.0887 x 10-2
9 2.7061 x 10-2
10 9.9223 x 10-3
11 3.0068 x 10-3
12 7.5169 x 10-4
13 1.5419 x 10-4
14 2.5699 x 10-5
15 3.1712 x 10-6
16 3.5693 x 10-7
17 2.7994 x 10-8
18 1.5552 x 10-9
19 5.4570 x 10-11
20 9.0949 x 10-13
Mean
The mean of this probability d
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